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Brazil's grain production is expected to reach 333.1 million tons in the next ten years. In relation to what the country produces in this 2020/2021 season, the increase in production by 2030/2031 is expected to be 71 million tons, an increase of 27.1%, at a growth rate of 2.4% per year. Soybeans, second-crop corn and cotton should continue to drive growth in grain production.
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The numbers are from the Agribusiness Projections, Brazil 2020/21 to 2030/31 study, carried out by the Agricultural Policy Secretariat of the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply, by the Intelligence and Strategic Relations Secretariat of the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (SIRE/Embrapa ) and by the Department of Statistics of the University of Brasília (UnB).
The domestic market, exports and productivity gains are expected to be the main growth factors in the next decade, the study points out. The advancement of innovations must continue to permeate activities in the field, as there is great attraction for new technologies.
Meat production (beef, pork and poultry) between 2020/21 and 2030/31 is expected to increase by 6.6 million tons, which represents an increase of 24.1%. Chicken and pork meat are expected to show the greatest growth in the coming years: chicken meat (27.7%), pork (25.8%). Beef production is expected to grow by 17% between the base year and the end of the projections. “These percentages may be at higher levels, given the increase in demand for animal protein”, warns José Garcia, general coordinator of Policy and Information Assessment at the ministry and one of the researchers behind the projections.
Planted area
The grain planted area should increase from the current 68.7 million hectares to 80.8 million hectares in 2030/31, an increase of 12.1 million hectares or 17.6% in relative terms. The planted area with all the crops analyzed, in addition to grains, including sugar cane, coffee, cocoa and fruits, is expected to increase from 80.8 million hectares in 2020/21 to 92.3 million in 2030/31.
This expansion is concentrated in soybeans, sugar cane, and corn hectares, which total an additional 13.4 million hectares. Some crops, such as cassava, coffee, rice, oranges and beans, are expected to lose area, but the reduction will be offset by productivity gains.
By: Gabriel Nascimento | Crops & Market
