The pork market intensified significantly with the emergence of African Swine Fever (ASF), which devastated China, and caused that country to import a lot from Brazil. This is what informed an expectations report for Brazilian agribusiness, released and carried out by Rabobank.
“African Swine Fever (ASF) is the main event that has directly impacted not only the meat sector in Brazil, but also throughout the world. This year, Brazilian pork exports registered an increase of 12% in volume and 25% in revenue (January to October) driven mainly by China, Hong Kong and Chile, which together represent 60% of the total shipped this year”, indicates the text .
According to the institution's analysis, the disease should continue to spread next year, maintaining this level of sales in 2020. “According to the OIE (World Organization for Animal Health), the body responsible for receiving notifications of ASF occurrences, in In the October 2019 report, 317 notifications were made and in November this number increased to 2,536, an increase of 800%”, he adds.
“In relation to production costs, after a year of reductions in animal feed prices, mainly corn, preliminary estimates showed that Brazilian grain producers intend to slightly increase the production area during 2020, but lower productivity rates are expected. , which could maintain production levels equal to 2019. Therefore, for 2020, animal nutrition costs should show a slight increase in relation to the average values of 2019, a movement that already started at the end of the 3rd quarter of 2019”, he concludes.
Source: agrolink
