According to Rural Clima's agroclimatic alert, the rains are expected to extend a little longer in the central region of Brazil, between April 15th and 25th, although the volumes predicted for the second half of the month are expected to be quite irregular.
Agrometeorologist Marco Antonio dos Santos states that rain occurred yesterday in the west and north of Paraná, as well as in the south of Mato Grosso do Sul, but in a very irregular manner, after the passage of a cold front that is already located in the central and northern region. from Brazil. Little rain in the south, north of Argentina, Paraguay, Mato Grosso do Sul and São Paulo until Thursday. New cold front approaches. Irregular rainfall in Paraná, São Paulo and Mato Grosso do Sul threatens the harvest season corn, warns Marco.
Rain forecasts affect Brazilian agriculture
Marco comments that in the northern regions, such as parts of Rondônia, Acre, Amazonas, Pará, the northern half of Mato Grosso, Goiás, the Cerrado Mineiro, as well as Matopiba, they should continue with a lot of rain throughout the week, which will certainly This mode hinders the carrying out of cultural treatments and the harvesting of soybeans, and may pose some risk to the corn harvest as well.
On the 7th, a new cold front should enter Brazil, bringing rain to Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and Paraná. But volumes will remain irregular due to the fact that the temperature of the Atlantic Ocean is cold in the South Region and São Paulo. Irregular rains in April affect the sugarcane and coffee harvest. Absence or excess precipitation can cause problems.
Throughout May, the tendency is for rain to stop occurring in the central region of Brazil, becoming more concentrated in the South Region. This condition should favor winter planting, mainly in Paraná, but is harmful to soybean harvests in Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina.
The weakened El Niño favors the entry of cold air into Brazil, but there is no imminent risk of frost so far, according to Marco.
USA
For the United States, Marco comments that the forecast is for heavier rains in a few weeks in the months of April and May in the producing regions, which could harm the progress of corn planting at a faster pace as normally happens. He states that if the producer is unable to meet the corn cultivation window, he can further expand the soybean cultivated area.
He draws attention, however, that if the climate indicates a more intense La Niña in the months of May and June, something that normally does not happen, there could be a slightly drier climate for the period between the end of July and August, which which could bring some apprehension to crops, as these are essential months for defining the harvest.
Marco adds, for now, that the expectation is that the United States will be able to harvest a harvest within normal limits.
Source: Arno Baasch | Crops & Market
