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The cultivated area should be 4.2% higher than last harvest and the more favorable climate tends to provide a gain of 14.87% in productivity, estimated at 4,140.14 kg/ha in this cycle.
“Although we doubt whether this survey has already captured the full impact of the drought in the western region of the state, the results show that agriculture in São Paulo remains solid. Regardless of the general economic situation, the sector continues to invest, generating income and jobs”, says the president of FAESP, Fábio de Salles Meirelles.
Good news is that the production of safrinha corn, the crop most affected by the adverse weather events of the last harvest, signals recovery through farmers' planting intentions. 2.75 million tons are estimated for this cycle, an increase of 92.7%. The planted area has an estimated growth of 4%, so that the positive results result from the gain in productivity, estimated at 85.3%, equivalent to 4,818kg/ha.
There was also an increase of 1.35% in soybean forecasts, compared to the 4th survey. The projection increased to 4.56 million tons, an increase of 6% in relation to the volume harvested in the last harvest.
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For rice, the forecast suffered a slight increase of 0.5% and 39.8 thousand tons are now expected, a result equivalent to the previous cycle. For other products, projections were maintained.
The 5th 2021/22 Harvest Survey carried out throughout Brazil showed a drop in relation to the previous estimate, due to the impacts of water scarcity in the southern regions of the country and the Center-South of Mato Grosso, mainly on corn and soybean crops. Compared to the previous survey, there was a reduction of 5.7% in the estimate for grain production. Still, the forecast of 268.2 million tons for the 2021/22 harvest is 5% above the volume harvested last season.
In relation to the previous survey, there was a drop in estimates for the cultivation of peanuts, beans and corn first harvests and for rice and soybeans. The forecast for peanuts is a production of 690.8 thousand tons (+17.4% compared to the results of the previous cycle); for beans, 935.5 thousand tons (-4.2%); for corn, 24.4 million tons (-1.2%); for rice, 10.5 million tons (-10.1%); and for soybeans, 125.47 million tons (-9.2%).
The positive highlight was cotton and second-crop crops, beans and corn. Cottonseed production is estimated at 3.95 million tons, resulting in an increase of 14.8% compared to the previous harvest.
For second-crop beans, 1.3 million tons are estimated (+17.1%) and, for second-crop corn, the projection for the harvest is 86.0 million tons (+41.7%), signaling recovery in in relation to the low results of the 2020/21 harvest, which were caused by climate impacts. It should be noted, however, that the off-season corn crop is being planted and the yield will depend on the behavior of the climate during its cycle.
By: Eliza Maliszewski | agrolink
