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The development of second crop corn, or second crop, continues to experience water stress with high temperatures in some regions, according to AgResource Consulting. “Some areas of Mato Grosso, Paraná, São Paulo and Goiás recorded dry weather, with low levels of accumulated rainfall and high temperatures in the last week”, warn analysts and the market.
So far, the Consultancy points out, the United States climate model maps are the ones that most indicate rain until the end of the month: “The European and Canadian models remove the chances of significant rain in the areas producing safrinha corn until April 29 ”.
AgResource projects it as “increasingly unlikely” that there will be a change in the climate pattern to something wetter. “Climate models indicate, more in the medium term, dry weather for the off-season, with some chances of precipitation in Mato Grosso and Goiás according to North American maps. After that, a more significant rain event is not indicated at the beginning of May”, they add.
In the long term, analysts point out, the maps indicate a trend of “normality or below-average rainfall. In the first period, May, the area with the lowest rainfall is larger, covering part of Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul and Paraná. For June, below-normal rainfall would be more restricted to the state of Paraná.”
“The La Niña phenomenon has come to an end and the system continues to indicate a phase of climate neutrality in the next one to three months, however the temperature of the Pacific Ocean on the western side of South America has been registering temperatures below normal. This condition could limit the chances of rain across Brazil until the end of autumn and should remain on the radar”, concludes AgResource.
By: Leonardo Gottems | agrolink
