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The seventh harvest estimate released by Imea brought the consolidation of the cotton area in Mato Grosso and a consequent adjustment in the production forecast for the state. Thus, the total area was established at 942.37 thousand hectares, with 135.89 thousand hectares planned for cultivation of the first harvest, while 806.48 thousand hectares for the second harvest. Therefore, the area decreased by 16.76% in relation to the 19/20 harvest and a drop of 6.89% compared to the last survey – the smallest area in the last two years.
With the delay in soybean sowing and consequently the postponement of the oilseed harvest, the state's producer had a tight planting window and, with the high costs of cotton production, many cotton farmers decided to reduce the area or even not plant in this area. season.
Furthermore, even with the drop in areas in the state, the share of the first cotton harvest was higher this year (14.42%), due to the repositioning of some areas from second to first harvest and the abandonment of some soybean plots that would need to be reseeded .
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Regarding yield, crops have been developing as expected so far, so given the current scenario, productivity was maintained at 285.48@/ha (or 4,282/kg), a decrease of 6.91% in relation to the harvest 19/20. However, with the large percentage of areas sown outside the ideal cultivation window and the climate forecasts in April and May pointing to lower rainfall, there is doubt about the possible impact on productivity or even fiber quality until the end of the crop's development.
Finally, with the consolidation of the area and the maintenance of productivity, production for the 2020/21 harvest was estimated at 4.04 million tons of seed cotton and 1.66 million tons of cotton lint, which represents a decrease of 23,30% compared to the 2019/20 harvest.
The information is contained in the Harvest Estimate of the Mato Grosso Institute of Agricultural Economics.
By: Rodrigo Ramos | Crops & Market
